Friday, February 21, 2025

Why Is Marginalist Economics Wrong?

Because of its treatment of capital. Other answers are possible.

This post draws heavily on the work of Pierangelo Garegnani. I start with a (parochial) definition of economics:

"Economics is the science which studies human behavior as a relationship between ends and scarce means which have alternative uses." -- Lionel Robbins (1932)

The scarce means are the factors of production: land, labor, and capital. Land and labor are in physical terms, in units of acres and person-years, respectively. They can be aggregated or disaggregated, as you wish.

But what is capital? Some early marginalists, such as Knut Wicksell took it as a value quantity, in units of dollars or pounds sterling. Maybe I should rather say, it is given in numeraire units. Capital is taken as given in quantity, but variable in form. The form is a matter of the specific quantities of specific plants, semi-finished goods, and so on.

The goal of the developers of this theory was to explain what Alfred Marshall called normal prices, in long period positions. This theory is inconsistent. As the economy approaches an equilibrium, prices change. The quantity of capital cannot be given a priori. It is both outside and inside the theory.

Leon Walras had a different approach. He took as given the quantities of the specific capital goods. He also included a commodity, perpetual net income, in his model. This is a kind of bond, what households who save may want to buy.

In a normal position, a uniform rate of return is made on all capital goods. Walras also had supply and demand matching. The model of capital formation is overdetermined and inconsistent. Furthermore, not all capital goods may be reproduced in Walras' model. (What did William Jaffe and Donald Walker think of this reading?)

In the 1930s and 1940s, certain marginalists, particularly Erik Lindahl, F. A. Hayek and J. R. Hicks, dropped the concept of a long-period equilibrium. They no longer required a uniform rate of profits in their model. The future is foreseen in their equilibrium paths. If a disequilibrium occurs, no reason exists for the economy to approach the previous path. Expectations and plans are inconsistent. An equilibrium path consistent with the initial data has no claim on our attention.

I am skipping over lots of variations on these themes. I do not even explain why, generally, the interest rate, in equilibrium, is not equal to the marginal product of capital. Or point out any empirical evidence for this result.

A modernized classical political economy, with affinities with Marx, provides a superior approach.

Selected References

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